Gold (XAUUSD) Daily Outlook: Capitalizing on the $4,315 Support Retest

Gold (XAUUSD) Daily Outlook: Capitalizing on the $4,315 Support Retest

  • user-icon Mobarok Hossain
  • date-icon April 25, 2024

Gold (XAUUSD) remains in a well-defined bullish expansion on the 1-hour timeframe. Following the break above previous structural resistance at $4,315.70, price is currently forming a high-probability retest structure before targeting upper liquidity pools around $4,387.

Technical Structure & Bias

Parameter Level / Zone
Market Bias Bullish Continuation
Key Point of Interest (POI) $4,315.70
Major Demand Floor $4,260.00 – $4,280.00
Upside Target (TP) $4,387.90

Trade Execution Criteria

  1. Retest & Rejection: Monitor price action around $4,315.70. We require price to wick into or slightly below this level to grab sell-side liquidity without accepting lower prices.

  2. Candle Body Rule: The 1-hour confirmation candle must close above $4,315.70. A body close below this level invalidates the immediate retest setup.

  3. Entry Timing: Open a Long position on the market open of the candle following the valid rejection.

  4. Invalidation: A 1H body close below $4,315 signals potential deeper retracement toward the $4,260 demand zone.

Trade Management

  • Target C: Primary take-profit target is set at $4,387.91, lining up with upper-timeframe institutional supply.

  • Risk Control: Risk must be capped strictly below the liquidity sweep wick. Always calculate position size relative to your account risk rules.