Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Wave (5) Projection & Key Demand Zones

Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Wave (5) Projection & Key Demand Zones

  • user-icon Mobarok Hossain
  • date-icon April 25, 2024

Gold (XAU/USD) continues its downward structure, moving into the completion phase of Wave (5). Price is currently testing the 4,240.00 – 4,260.00 demand zone, which serves as a crucial inflection point for either a relief rally or a deeper sell-off.

Technical Breakdown

  • Elliott Wave Development: Following the completion of Wave (3) and the Wave (4) minor resistance pullback, price action is expanding downward to finish Wave (5).

  • Primary Demand Support: The 4,240.00 – 4,260.00 zone represents major structural support where buyers may step in for a counter-trend move.

  • Overhead Resistance: The immediate flipped resistance sits at 4,299.17, followed by the primary supply level at 4,373.83.

  • Lower Structural Demand: Below 4,240, the next significant higher-timeframe support sits at 4,146.39.

Potential Trading Scenarios

1. Demand Zone Rebound (Bullish Path)

  • Trigger: Strong reaction and bullish Market Structure Shift (MSS) inside the 4,240.00 – 4,260.00 region.

  • Targets: 4,299.17 (Target 1) and 4,373.83 (Target 2).

2. Bearish Breakdown (Continuation Path)

  • Trigger: Acceptance and sustained 1H candle close below 4,240.00.

  • Target: 4,146.39 (Lower Liquidity / Demand Zone).

Conclusion Traders should closely watch price action as Gold enters the 4,240 – 4,260 area. Patience is required to confirm whether the demand zone holds for a relief move toward 4,299.17 or breaks down toward 4,146.39.

Disclaimer: This analysis is provided for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.