Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Wave Structure & Projected Retest Overview

Technical Analysis: XAU/USD (Gold) Wave Structure & Projected Retest Overview

  • user-icon Mobarok Hossain
  • date-icon April 25, 2024

Gold (XAU/USD) has delivered a strong bullish expansion, completing a full 5-wave impulse sequence (i)-(ii)-(iii)-(iv)-(v) into a major overhead supply zone near 4,400. Market participants should now monitor for a corrective pullback to offer a high-probability re-entry setup.

Technical Breakdown

  • Impulse Completion: The 5-wave Elliott structure pushed price directly into the 4,396–4,404 Order Block, where upside momentum is temporarily stalling.

  • Break of Structure (BOS): Recent price action established a firm BOS around the 4,370–4,380 level, which now acts as immediate flipped support.

  • Secondary Demand: Should a deeper retracement occur, the 4,337–4,346 block serves as strong structural backing.

Trading Scenario & Targets

  • Primary Setup: Retracement into 4,370–4,380 support followed by a bullish confirmation trigger.

  • Upside Target: 4,442.11 (Projected Wave Expansion Target).

  • Invalidation: A sustained 1H close below 4,337 breaks the immediate bullish market structure.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.