USDJPY DAILY FORECAST

USDJPY DAILY FORECAST

  • user-icon Mobarok Hossain
  • date-icon April 25, 2024

On Monday, January 8, 2024, the USD/JPY pair resumed its upward trajectory, approaching the crucial resistance level of 145.00. With the support of multiple variables, the bulls appear to be in control:

On Monday, January 8, 2024, the USD/JPY pair resumed its upward trajectory, approaching the crucial resistance level of 145.00. With the support of multiple variables, the bulls appear to be in control:

Hawkish Fed Expectations: The US dollar is strengthening vs other major currencies, such as the Japanese yen, as a result of market betting on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) ongoing aggressive interest rate hikes.


Geopolitical Tensions: Investors are gravitating toward the US dollar as a safe haven due to growing risk aversion brought on by rising tensions throughout the world, particularly in the Middle East and Ukraine.

 

Key Levels of Resistance:

145.00: This is a technical barrier and a crucial psychological level that has historically resisted advancements. A break above can indicate more room for growth.
146.00: This level represents the pair's highest point in 24 years, reached in October 2023. If this level is reached, there is a strong bullish momentum.


Important Support Levels:

143.00: If the recovery slows down, this level could serve as a floor. It also offered support during the most recent decline.
142.00: A breach of this mark may indicate a change in trend and open the door for additional declines.

Upcoming Catalysts:

US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) figures for the 13th of January, Friday: While a negative employment report could stifle the surge, a strong one could boost the dollar and drive the USD/JPY higher.
January 18 figures from the Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) show that higher-than-expected inflation may weaken the euro and favor the USD/JPY inadvertently.
In the short term, the USD/JPY outlook is still positive overall, with potential rises towards 145.00 and higher. But, as they may affect the pair's course, pay attention to impending data releases and any changes in risk sentiment.

Remember that you should always do your own research before making any investment decisions because this is not financial advice.